Friday, November 23, 2012

0 Stanford expert: Energy efficiency wins big in California election, but debate looms over dividing $2.5 billion

Stanford Report, November 12, 2012

A ballot initiative to increase taxes on corporations that sell products in California but have few employees in the state faced scant opposition and won voter support with little fanfare. The real fight lies ahead in the state legislature: dividing up $2.5 billion intended for energy efficiency projects in government buildings.

By Mark Golden

California's Proposition 39 did not get much attention in the months leading up to Tuesday's election, but voters handily approved the measure to increase taxes on some corporations, with $2.5 billion of the money going for projects to conserve electricity and natural gas consumed by schools and other government buildings.

The appeal to Californians was understandable. Basically, the additional taxes will be paid by companies that sell their products in the state but have relatively few employees and little property here. In turn, $500 million annually for five years will pay for public building retrofit projects, each of which must save taxpayers more on energy costs in the long term than the retrofits cost.

The money can be used for renewable energy installations like solar panels too, but the cost-effectiveness requirement currently favors energy efficiency projects like insulation or modernizing heating, air-conditioning, water or lighting systems, according to James Sweeney, professor of management science and engineering, and director of the Precourt Energy Efficiency Center at Stanford University.

"Many efficiency improvements can pay for themselves in several years," said Sweeney.

According to a McKinsey & Co. report in 2009, state and local government buildings in the United States could reduce energy costs by $49 billion for $26 billion in efficiency investments, while also slashing their greenhouse gas emissions by a third. For decades California has been more aggressive than most states in promoting energy efficiency. State regulations result in utilities spending about $1 billion annually on financial incentives primarily for homeowners and businesses rather than large government buildings. Such programs are funded primarily by utility customers, not tax receipts.

Under Proposition 39, $500 million to $550 million a year will be spent in three areas: outright grants to cover the costs of projects, low-interest loans for such projects and workforce training to increase the skilled workers available to install the new technologies.

The state legislature is to write by June the rules that will determine how the money will be divided among these three groups.

That will require debate, said Sweeney. Cities and school districts in these tough budget times would much prefer grants to loans. Even 1 percent interest loans create more debt on already strained government balance sheets.

Federal stimulus funds that California allocated to energy conservation grants for small cities and counties were taken up quickly, while a related low-interest loan program is still taking applications.

"For public buildings, capital constraints have prevented cost-effective investments to conserve electricity and natural gas. Grants under Prop. 39 will clearly overcome these capital constraints," said Sweeney.

On the other hand, most policymakers in Sacramento have a strong preference for low-interest loans, which upon repayment can fund additional projects. A significant loan program could leverage the Prop. 39 program far beyond five years and $2.5 billion by conserving more energy and creating more jobs than one-time grants. Such a program might also be extended to private companies rather than just governments.

Under state mandates, half of the proceeds from the higher taxes must go to certain types of spending, primarily public education. After five years, the annual $500 million for energy efficiency will become available for general purposes.

Mark Golden works in communications at the Precourt Energy Efficiency Center at Stanford University.

Mark Golden, Precourt Energy Efficiency Center: (650) 724-1629, mark.golden@stanford.edu

Dan Stober, Stanford News Service: (650) 721-6965, dstober@stanford.edu


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0 Faculty Senate to hear progress report on new undergraduate requirements

Stanford Report, November 8, 2012

Starting this year, freshmen are required to take a Thinking Matters course, and the class entering in the fall of 2013 is required to take 11 courses in eight Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing categories to earn a bachelor's degree.

By Kathleen J. Sullivan

At today's Faculty Senate meeting, Harry J. Elam Jr., vice provost for undergraduate education, will talk about the progress Stanford has made implementing the new Thinking Matters courses for freshmen and Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing breadth requirements for undergraduates.

The requirements, which Stanford has begun implementing this year, were recommended in the 2012 Study of Undergraduate Education at Stanford (SUES) and approved last year by the senate in separate votes – in March and May.

"I will be providing a post-SUES strategy for implementing the recommendations, including Thinking Matters and Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing," Elam said, adding that the primary focus of his report would be on the new breadth requirements.

Starting with the class entering in fall 2013, Stanford undergraduates are required to take 11 courses in eight categories to earn a bachelor's degree.

The eight Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing categories are aesthetic and interpretive inquiry; social inquiry; scientific method and analysis; formal reasoning; applied quantitative reasoning; engaging diversity; ethical reasoning; and creative expression.

Elam also will discuss the work of the Breadth Governance Board, which was created to establish the Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing breadth system. The board, which is composed of 22 faculty, staff and students, is chaired by Chris Edwards, a professor of mechanical engineering and a senior fellow at the Precourt Institute for Energy.

Elam will speak for 20 minutes. A 20-minute Q&A will follow.

The senate meeting will begin at 3:15 p.m. in Room 180 of the Law School. Discussion is limited to members of the senate, but members of the Stanford community may request to attend the meeting by contacting the Academic Secretary's Office at 723-4992 or Trish Del Pozzo at delpozzo@stanford.edu.

The senate will reconvene in executive session at 4:30 p.m. in Room 180 of the Law School.


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0 Stanford's touch-sensitive plastic skin heals itself

Stanford Report, November 11, 2012

A team of Stanford chemists and engineers has created the first synthetic material that is both sensitive to touch and capable of healing itself quickly and repeatedly at room temperature. The advance could lead to smarter prosthetics or resilient personal electronics that repair themselves.

By Kelly Servick

L.A. Cicero A small piece of the self-healing material is sliced with a scalpel. The researchers say the material repairs itself in about 30 minutes.

A small piece of the self-healing material is sliced with a scalpel. The researchers say the material repairs itself in about 30 minutes.

Nobody knows the remarkable properties of human skin like the researchers struggling to emulate it. Not only is our skin sensitive – sending the brain precise information about pressure and temperature – but it also heals efficiently to preserve a protective barrier against the world. Combining these two features in a single synthetic material presented an exciting challenge for Stanford chemical engineering Professor Zhenan Bao and her team.

Now, they have succeeded in making the first material that can both sense subtle pressure and heal itself when torn or cut. Their findings will be published Nov. 11 in the journal Nature Nanotechnology.

In the last decade, there have been major advances in synthetic skin, said Bao, the study's principal investigator, but even the most effective self-healing materials had major drawbacks. Some had to be exposed to high temperatures, making them impractical for day-to-day use. Others could heal at room temperature, but repairing a cut changed their mechanical or chemical structure, so they could heal themselves only once. Most important, no self-healing material was a good bulk conductor of electricity, a crucial property.

"To interface this kind of material with the digital world, ideally you want it to be conductive," said Benjamin Chee-Keong Tee, a researcher on the project.

The researchers succeeded by combining two ingredients to get what Bao calls "the best of both worlds" – the self-healing ability of a plastic polymer and the conductivity of a metal.

They started with a plastic consisting of long chains of molecules joined by hydrogen bonds – the relatively weak attractions between the positively charged region of one atom and the negatively charged region of the next.

"These dynamic bonds allow the material to self-heal," said Chao Wang, another member of the research team. The molecules easily break apart, but then when they reconnect, the bonds reorganize themselves and restore the structure of the material after it gets damaged, he said. The result is a bendable material, which even at room temperature feels a bit like saltwater taffy left in the fridge.

To this resilient polymer, the researchers added tiny particles of nickel, which increased its mechanical strength. The nanoscale surfaces of the nickel particles are rough, which proved important in making the material conductive. Tee compared these surface features to "mini-machetes," with each jutting edge concentrating an electrical field and making it easier for current to flow from one particle to the next.

The result was a polymer with uncommon characteristics. "Most plastics are good insulators, but this is an excellent conductor," Bao said.

The next step was to see how well the material could restore both its mechanical strength and its electrical conductivity after damage.

L.A. CiceroPost doctoral scholar Chao Wang cuts through a sample of the self-healing plastic material developed in the Bao lab.

Post doctoral scholar Chao Wang cuts through a sample of the self-healing plastic material developed in the Bao lab.

The researchers took a thin strip of the material and cut it in half with a scalpel. After gently pressing the pieces together for a few seconds, the researchers found the material gained back 75 percent of its original strength and electrical conductivity. The material was restored close to 100 percent in about 30 minutes. "Even human skin takes days to heal. So I think this is quite cool," Tee said.

What's more, the same sample could be cut repeatedly in the same place. After 50 cuts and repairs, a sample withstood bending and stretching just like the original.

The composite nature of the material created a new engineering challenge for the team. Bao and her co-authors found that although nickel was key to making the material strong and conductive, it also got in the way of the healing process by preventing the hydrogen bonds from reconnecting as well as they should.

For future generations of the material, Bao said, the team might adjust the size and shape of the nanoparticles, or even the chemical properties of the polymer, to get around this trade-off.

Nonetheless, Wang said the extent of these self-healing properties was truly surprising: "Before our work, it was very hard to imagine that this kind of flexible, conductive material could also be self-healing."

The team also explored how to use the material as a sensor. For the electrons that make up an electrical current, trying to pass through this material is like trying to cross a stream by hopping from stone to stone. The stones in this analogy are the nickel particles, and the distance separating them determines how much energy an electron will need to free itself from one stone and move to another.

Twisting or putting pressure on the synthetic skin changes the distance between the nickel particles and, therefore, the ease with which electrons can move. These subtle changes in electrical resistance can be translated into information about pressure and tension on the skin.

Tee said that the material is sensitive enough to detect the pressure of a handshake. It might, therefore, be ideal for use in prosthetics, Bao added. The material is sensitive not only to downward pressure but also to flexing, so a prosthetic limb might someday be able to register the degree of bend in a joint.

Tee pointed out other commercial possibilities. Electrical devices and wires coated in this material could repair themselves and get electricity flowing again without costly and difficult maintenance, particularly in hard-to-reach places, such as inside building walls or vehicles.

Next up, Bao said, is the team's goal to make the material stretchy and transparent, so that it might be suitable for wrapping and overlaying electronic devices or display screens.

Ranulfo Allen, a graduate student in chemical engineering, also contributed to this research. The research was supported by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research.

Kelly Servick is a science-writing intern working for the Stanford University School of Engineering.

Zhenan Bao, Chemical Engineering: (650) 723-2419, zbao@stanford.edu

Andrew Myers, School of Engineering: (650) 736-2245, admyers@stanford.edu

Dan Stober, Stanford News Service: (650) 721-6965, dstober@stanford.edu


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0 Stanford author Adam Johnson shares secrets of his writing process

Stanford Report, November 14, 2012

The author of the bestselling novel "The Orphan Master's Son" says the personal characteristics seen as flaws during his early years - daydreamer, liar, rubbernecker, exaggerator - all came together to make for a successful career as a storyteller.

By Kelsey Geiser
The Humanities at Stanford

L.A. Cicero Adam Johnson portrait

Adam Johnson, associate professor of English and best-selling author, uses a spreadsheet to track his productivity.

Spreadsheets are not typically equated with creativity. But acclaimed novelist Adam Johnson relies on rows and columns to keep him focused and on schedule.

In addition to his bestselling novel The Orphan Master's Son, Johnson's numerous short stories and essays have appeared in Harper's Magazine, Esquire and The Paris Review, to name a few. His first novel, Parasites Like Us, won a California Book Award. Given Johnson's prolific creative writing endeavors, one might imagine that words flow effortlessly from his mind to his keyboard.

But, as Johnson shared during a recent presentation as part of the "How I Write" series at Stanford, each of his works is the result of methodical research, self-imposed discipline and a lifelong passion for storytelling.

An associate professor of English at Stanford, Johnson records his writing habits in a detailed Excel spreadsheet. He keeps track of the location, number of words he writes, the time of day he writes and how many of those words actually make it into the final product. 

His data revealed that he was the most productive at the medical library at the University of California-San Francisco, a fact he attributes to his lack of access to the Internet and the effort needed to use the bathroom there. 

"In the library, honestly, you have to pack it all up and take a trip," admitted Johnson. "I would just think, 'I can make it another half hour before I have to pack all my gear up.'"

Working in his home office proved to be difficult because he could hear his children playing in the room above him.  "I had to put the test to my work," said Johnson. "Are these imaginary people more important than the real people I am spending time away from?" Johnson found that moving outside of his home put some of that guilt to rest and allowed him to focus on his writing.

His spreadsheet also keeps him on a writing schedule.  If he missed writing days, it would become increasingly apparent.

 "When you miss a day or two it's like a gap tooth, but if you miss a couple of weeks it's like someone died," Johnson said.

Research played a major role in the development of The Orphan Master's Son, Johnson's New York Times bestseller about a young man's journey through the world's most evasive dictatorship – North Korea, under the rule of Kim Jong Il. 

Johnson, who received his doctorate in English from Florida State University in 2000, did everything in his power to understand this isolated culture, about which precious little is written.  

He read everything he could get his hands on, including agricultural and historical books and propaganda materials. He also read the few available testimonials of people who had escaped the country.

"Once I started reading these stories, everything changed," said Johnson.  "There was a weight of them in me … They were real people."

To prepare his writing, Johnson combined general knowledge, personal stories and first- hand impressions he gained from a tightly controlled, state-sponsored trip to North Korea.  With these multiple perspectives, Johnson attempted to write from the point of view of a native North Korean.

With the personal stories, Johnson felt a familiar pull.  "When you get that story, you are beholden to it," Johnson admitted.  "It is like bearing witness to it.  You have to live up to it."

Despite Johnson's organized academic approach to his creative work, he ran into all the typical setbacks faced by writers – including writer's block.  "I think [being] stuck is part of the process," said Johnson. 

He would write until he would not believe the setting, the person or the place he was writing about, then he would hit the books again, "extending my imagination as far as I trusted it and then going back to the sources," said Johnson. 

The accomplished fiction and short story writer began his "How I Write" conversation with a deeper look into his own life.  He talked about going to the zoo after hours with his father, who was a night watchman at the Phoenix zoo; digging through neighbors' trashcans to figure out more about their lives; and working as a construction worker, all the while looking for stories. 

It was not until he took a creative writing class at Arizona State University as an undergraduate that he found a home for this inquisitiveness.  "Suddenly all the flaws I had been told I had had in my life – I was a daydreamer, a liar, a rubbernecker and an exaggerator - they all came together to make a story that was suddenly valuable." From that moment on, he devoted himself to telling stories and figuring out what stories do for us as people. 

Throughout his career, Johnson has attempted nearly all forms of storytelling, including work on graphic novels such as Shake Girl with the Stanford Graphic Novel Project. He has found that writers must often place themselves entirely outside of their own experience to gain a more truthful outcome. 

Johnson said storytelling has contributed to his own self-awareness. "I was using the distance of fiction to get to know the stranger of myself," admitted Johnson. 

"If your story is overwhelming enough that it could incapacitate you, then you're going to have to break it into pieces," Johnson said.  "You have to break it, or tell it out of order, or tell it without causality, or tell it as if it happened to someone else, or leave out the pain altogether."

Johnson's talk will be available on Stanford on ITunes U, where more than two-dozen previous "How I Write" talks are archived.

Kelsey Geiser is an intern with the Human Experience, the Humanities web portal for Stanford University.

Corrie Goldman, director of humanities communication: (650) 724-8156, corrieg@stanford.edu


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0 Stanford campus to honor its past and present veterans

Stanford Report, November 8, 2012

The Stanford community will celebrate Veterans Day with several events, including a reception today in the Law School lounge, a private event at the Graduate School of Business on Friday, an evening of storytelling on Sunday in the Old Union, and the placement of floral wreaths in Memorial Court and Memorial Auditorium on Monday.

By Kathleen J. Sullivan

Elaine Enos Wreath in front of plaque in Memorial Court

On Monday, as in 2010 shown above, the university will place floral wreaths in Memorial Court as well as in the entrance to Memorial Auditorium as tributes to those who have devoted years in service to the country.

On Sunday – Veterans Day – the Stanford Storytelling Project is hosting an evening of personal stories, music, letters and conversation with six Stanford student veterans who recently returned from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Stanford veterans and some of their family members will come together for a single special event, "Voices from the Front: Stanford Students Returning Home from War," to share what they have experienced and learned, both about war and about the journey home.

The event begins at 5 p.m. in the A3C Ballroom in the Old Union. It is free and open to all.

"We're really hoping that "Voices from the Front" will create a unique space for the Stanford community to start a dialogue about the experiences that veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan have as they transition to war and return home," said Xandra Clark, senior producer and events director at the Stanford Storytelling Project.

"These personal stories aren't much heard in the news, but it's a conversation we really should have in America today."

The evening will feature excerpts from the project's new audio documentary of the soldiers, Returning Home, which will air on KZSU 90.1 FM at 6 p.m. Nov. 12 and 14.

In the documentary, the students talk about their decision to enlist, serving in Iraq, coping with the experience of war, coming home, going to community college, studying at Stanford and trying to figure out what to do next.

During Sunday's program, the audience also will hear other students recite letters that one of the veterans sent to loved ones back home.

Then, the six veterans, including one woman, will take the stage for a discussion with the audience. Joel Brinkley, a former foreign correspondent for the New York Times who teaches at Stanford, will moderate the discussion.

Four of the six veterans who tell their stories in Returning Home graduated from Stanford within the past year. Two are still studying on the Farm.

Clark said many Stanford students are surprised to hear there are veterans studying on campus. Many students would like to talk to veterans about their experiences, she said, but don't know if it's all right to ask questions.

Currently, there are seven undergraduate student veterans studying at Stanford and 58 graduate student veterans enrolled in Stanford's seven schools.

"Veterans do want to talk about their experiences," Clark said. "For Sunday's program, we have created a space where that is permissible, where people can ask questions and begin a dialogue with veterans. It's really important to start that conversation on campus."

A reception will follow in a gallery space that will display special artifacts selected by the veterans, including photographs and other items from their time in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The event is being cosponsored by the Stanford Storytelling Project, the Haas Center for Public Service and the Stanford Military Service Network.

Today, the Haas Center and the Stanford Law School are co-sponsoring a Veterans Day reception from 4:30 to 6:30 p.m. in the Law School lounge. All members of the Stanford community and their families are invited to attend.

On Friday, the Graduate School of Business Veterans Club is holding a private event for business school students and their guests.

Also on Friday, the Hoover Institution will hold a 2 p.m. ceremony celebrating the 237th birthday (Nov. 10, 1775) of the Marine Corps. The event, which is free and open to the public, will be held in Room 130 of the Herbert Hoover Memorial Building, located at 434 Galvez Mall. Former U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz will speak at the ceremony, which will last about an hour.

On Monday, the university will place floral wreaths in Memorial Court and at the entrance to Memorial Auditorium as tributes to veterans – past and present – of the Stanford community, and to those who have devoted years in service to the country.

A letter from President John Hennessy will be placed with the wreaths.

"We owe a great debt to those who serve and protect our freedom," Hennessy wrote in the Veterans Day letter.

"Stanford is honored to have about 60 United States military veterans currently enrolled at the university as undergraduates and graduate students," he wrote.

"Many have served in the past few years in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Each year, for the past several years, their numbers at Stanford have been growing. This year we also have nine ROTC students. They contribute to the vibrancy of our community as well as to Stanford's rich heritage of service."

Inside Memorial Auditorium, which opened in 1937 as a memorial to Stanford's fallen in World War I, plaques bear the names of alumni, students, staff and faculty who have died in every war since then, including the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Nearly four decades earlier, Jane Stanford had dedicated Memorial Court to the memory of Stanford volunteers who fought in the Spanish-American War.

"Please take a moment today to note the names on these walls," Hennessy wrote. "We ask that you pay them a quiet moment of respect and gratitude as we all are reminded that these areas of the campus were established for just this purpose."


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Thursday, November 22, 2012

0 Three words sum up the Stanford journey: Integrate, innovate and inspire, Elam tells Faculty Senate

Stanford Report, November 9, 2012

At the third meeting of fall quarter, the senate heard an update on the redesign of undergraduate education that the faculty approved last spring.

By Kathleen J. Sullivan

L.A. Cicero Harry Elam addressing the Faculty Senate

Vice Provost for Undergraduate Education Harry Elam addressing the Faculty Senate on Thursday.

Six months after the Faculty Senate approved sweeping changes in breadth requirements for undergraduates, Harry J. Elam Jr., vice provost for undergraduate education, presented a progress report on plans to implement the new Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing program in the fall of 2013.

Speaking at Thursday's senate meeting, Elam said the opportunity to implement the new breadth requirements was an "exciting moment" for the university.

"We'll be reaching out in so many different ways to you, to other constituencies and to students to find ways to make Ways of Thinking work, to evaluate it and to keep Stanford at the vanguard of undergraduate education," he said.

The senate approved the new breadth requirements last May after extensive discussions and debate. The new requirements were one of many recommendations in the 2012 Study of Undergraduate Education at Stanford (SUES).

At the start of his presentation, Elam said he could summarize the recommendations of the SUES report in three words: integrate, innovate and inspire.

The Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing categories are aesthetic and interpretive inquiry; social inquiry; scientific method and analysis; formal reasoning; applied quantitative reasoning; engaging diversity; ethical reasoning; and creative expression. Starting with the class entering in fall 2013, students will be required to take 11 courses in the eight categories.

Elam said the new Breadth Governance Board, under the direction of Chris Edwards, a professor of mechanical engineering, has already done a lot of work on Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing.

"They needed by Oct. 15 to come up with a rationale for each of the eight ways, as well as learning outcomes, and to put them into something that was coherent, succinct and available for chairs to look at," Elam said.

The board created an 11-page report, Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing: A capacity-based approach to fostering breadth in General Education Electives.

The board also has established a process by which faculty and departments may certify their courses to fulfill the new general education electives.  

Elam said there have been a series of Ways meetings, including one Thursday on creative expression. Two more meetings are scheduled: moral and ethical reasoning on Nov. 27, and scientific method and analysis on Nov. 29.

"It's a chance to sit down with others and talk about what would go into that particular Way, why, how your course might fit, ideas that you're thinking about in relation to that course, what it may mean to your department," Elam said.

He said the deadline for submitting courses, Dec. 14, is there as a way of saying to departments, "please help us with this process."

"Put in those courses that you think fit into a certain area," Elam said. "That way, we get a listing of courses, we get a sense of where there are missing areas and where there needs to be more courses. Quite frankly, in terms of needs, three areas come to mind: engaging diversity, creative expression and ethical reasoning."

He said the university will hold summer workshops to fund curriculum development for individual faculty who have the goal of creating new courses in these categories.

"But, if a faculty member wants to work with another faculty member, or another faculty member within a group, then we add additional funding for lunch and additional funding for bringing in someone to speak with them," Elam said, adding that one of his goals is to form "learning communities among faculty."

Elam also discussed the new Thinking Matters program, which the senate approved last March. Stanford launched the program this quarter for incoming freshmen.

The courses – all students are required to take at least one Thinking Matters course – are designed to welcome freshmen into intellectual life at Stanford and to teach them the critical and analytical skills required for rigorous university-level work.  

Citing data from the initial forms returned by students last June, Elam said 88 percent of incoming freshmen got their first choice among the available Thinking Matters courses and 96 percent got their first or second choice.

He said more than half the incoming students said they planned to take at least one Thinking Matters course as an elective in addition to the required course.

Among the courses that earned more than 200 first-choice requests were The Science of MythBusters (fall), How Does Your Brain Work? (winter) and Networks: Ecological, Revolutionary, Digital (spring).

Elam also shared some statistics on Stanford Introductory Seminars, which the senate last March voted to "strongly" encourage first-year students to take. The seminars are small group courses for freshmen and sophomores taught by esteemed faculty.

Currently, 38 percent of freshmen are enrolled in Introductory Seminars, up from 33 percent during fall quarter of last year, Elam said.

He said 39 percent of fall quarter introductory seminars in the humanities are full, compared with 24 percent last year, which he called "incredible growth."

Elam said the online Cardinal Compass, which helps freshmen navigate their first year at Stanford, has received nearly 18,000 page views since it was launched in August.

In the Q&A that followed Elam's presentation, faculty members asked questions on a variety of topics including how to make Introductory Seminars available to student athletes, whose schedules can make it hard for them to attend; the value of capstone projects; team teaching of Ways of Thinking/Ways of Doing courses; and evaluating the long-term impact of the new breadth requirements.

The full minutes of the meeting, including the presentation and the question-and-answer session that followed, will be available next week on the senate's website.

The next senate meeting will be held Dec. 6.


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0 Stanford study: Climate change threatens freshwater source for billions

Stanford Report, November 11, 2012

Stanford scientist and other researchers analyze future snowpack decline from California to the Himalayas.

By Rob Jordan

Courtesy of the California Depatment of Water Resources California Department of Water Resources workers measuring the snowpack

Frank Gehrke, left, and Dave Hart of the California Department of Water Resources measuring water content of snow in January 2008. A new study forecasts a drop in the annual snowpack within the next 30 years due to climate change.

Snowpack, an essential source of drinking water and agricultural irrigation for billions of people, could shrink significantly within the next 30 years, according to a study led by Stanford climate change researcher Noah Diffenbaugh.

The study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, forecasts the effect of climate change on Northern Hemisphere snowpack through the 21st century in the Western United States, Alpine Europe, Central Asia and downstream of the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau. The news is particularly troubling for snowpack-dependent California – the largest producer of agriculture products in the country and the sixth-largest agriculture exporter in the world.

"The Western U.S. exhibits the strongest increases in the occurrence of extremely low snow years in response to global warming," Diffenbaugh said. "It also exhibits some of the strongest decreases in runoff that occurs during the growing season." Diffenbaugh is an assistant professor in Stanford's Department of Environmental Earth System Science and a center fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment.

Less snow accumulation, increased cold season runoff and decreased warm season runoff could lead not only to overwhelmed reservoirs and flooding in winter, but also to insufficient water for agriculture in spring and summer when demand is highest. Hydroelectric production, water-dependent ecosystems and snow-dependent recreation industries could also suffer. On top of that, early spring snowmelt has been associated with an increase in wildfires, insect pests and species extinctions in the Western United States and elsewhere.

By filling reservoirs and watering crops when warmer, drier weather sets in, mountain snowpack has become vital to people and ecosystems in regions such as the Western United States, Alpine Europe, Central Asia and downstream of the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau – home to more than 50 percent of the world's population.

"If we look at the systems that humans currently have in place for managing water resources, we see that much of the Northern Hemisphere is dependent on snowpack for water storage," Diffenbaugh said. "Our results suggest that global warming will put increasing pressure on both flood control in the cold season and water availability in the dry season, and that these changes are likely to occur in some of the most densely populated and water-stressed areas of the planet."

The connection between rising global temperatures and disappearing snowpack has long been evident. Diffenbaugh and his fellow researchers took a new look at the issue by examining predicted extremes in snowpack accumulation and runoff. Using advanced climate modeling techniques, they compared a century's worth of predicted future data for precipitation, accumulation and runoff with the average and extreme rates for the same phenomena during the 30 years between 1976 and 2005.

The researchers found that the occurrence of low snow years will likely intensify throughout most snow-dominated areas of the Northern Hemisphere during this century, becoming the norm more than 80 percent of the time over most of North America, western Eurasia and southeastern Eurasia by 2070.

The areas of North America and Eurasia predicted to have the highest number of low-snow years are also predicted to have extremely low snow accumulation.

"Our analysis highlights the potential impacts of climate change if greenhouse gas emissions continue on their current trajectory," Diffenbaugh said. "While the greatest impacts are likely to occur at higher levels of global warming, our results highlight the fact that continued emissions over the next few decades are likely to substantially reduce snow accumulation in a number of regions, increasing the risk of both flooding and drought in different parts of the year."

The study's co-authors include Moetasim Ashfaq, a research scientist at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and Martin Scherer, a research assistant in Stanford's Department of Environmental Earth System Science. The study was made possible by grants from the National Science Foundation, the National Institutes of Health and the U.S. Department of Energy.

Rob Jordan is the communications writer for the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment.

Noah Diffenbaugh, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment: cell (650) 223-9425, office (650) 725-7510, diffenbaugh@stanford.edu

Christine Harrison, Communications, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment: (650) 725-8240, christine.harrision@stanford.edu

Nancy Peterson, Communications, School of Earth Sciences: (650) 776-2276, npete@stanford.edu

Dan Stober, Stanford News Service: (650) 721-6965, dstober@stanford.edu


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0 Ann F. Marshall, 'a world-class electron microscopist,' to receive Marsh O'Neill Award

Stanford Report, November 9, 2012

Marshall, who arrived at Stanford in 1979, has dedicated her career to training others and to enhancing the excellence of materials characterization at the university.

By Kathleen J. Sullivan

L.A. Cicero Ann Marshall portrait

O'Neill Award winner Ann Marshall

An expert at both the theory and practice of electron microscopy. An outstanding woman scientist who has mentored, nurtured and trained generations of graduate students. A talented and dedicated professional who runs an outstanding research enterprise.

Those are some of the many accolades bestowed upon Ann F. Marshall, winner of the 2012 Marshall D. O'Neill Award, which honors staff members who have made outstanding contributions to Stanford's research mission.

Marshall will be honored Nov. 12 at a 4 p.m. reception at the Faculty Club.

Marshall is a senior research scientist in the Stanford Nanocharacterization Laboratory and the Stanford Nano Center, where she helps oversee the electron and ion microscopy facilities, including the transmission electron microscopes, the scanning electron microscopes and the focused ion beam instruments.

She trains students and postdoctoral researchers about how the instruments work and how to obtain and analyze the most valuable and reproducible data. She has collaborated on many research projects with faculty and students over the years.

Marshall, who arrived at Stanford in 1979, also has worked at the Center for Materials Research, the Superconductivity Interdisciplinary Research Group and the Geballe Laboratory for Advanced Materials.

Since 1980, Marshall has taught a yearly laboratory course on transmission electron microscopy techniques in the Department of Materials Science and Engineering (MSE).

Marshall grew up in a small town in Maryland and comes from a big family – she has nine siblings – but she was the only one who became a scientist.

"My family is full of English literature majors, and my dad was a professor of Greek and Latin," she said. "I first started thinking 'I like science' when I took chemistry in high school," she said in a recent interview.

Marshall earned a bachelor's degree in chemistry from Catholic University in Washington, D.C., in 1971. After graduating, she got a job as a technician in the university's materials science laboratory. That's where she discovered what she really liked – materials science. Graduate students working in the lab – they were friends – encouraged her to go back to school. She graduated with a doctorate in materials science and engineering from the University of Virginia in 1979.

"When I started studying materials science I realized how much structure there is at the microscopic and nano scale to all these things around us – metals, ceramics, plastics, and organic and biological materials," she said. "With an electron microscope you can see these microstructures much better than with a light microscope, and in many different ways. It's a visual world. It's really a lot of fun."

Marshall said she found out she'd won the O'Neill Award when she was in Oregon at a workshop and received a call from Ann Arvin, dean of research at Stanford.

"I had no idea I'd been nominated or that various colleagues had gone to all this trouble to write letters nominating me," Marshall said. "I'm very honored."

Robert Sinclair, a professor of materials science and engineering, and director of the Stanford Nanocharacterization Laboratory, described Marshall as an "expert at both the theory and practice of electron microscopy, a rigorous and complicated field in its own right, with many national and international conferences each year."

Sinclair said Marshall's style has been to train students and postdocs on how the electron microscope works, and how to go about obtaining and analyzing the most valuable and reproducible data.

"Ann clearly runs an outstanding research enterprise," Sinclair wrote in a letter nominating Marshall for the award.

"I have visited many electron microscope facilities throughout my career, and so often one sees that the professional staff acts as a barrier to the full use of the delicate TEM [transmission electron microscope] equipment. Ann has the opposite philosophy. By sincerely encouraging student hands-on usage of the facility, she is able to inculcate a respect for the laboratory so that accidental damage is a very rare occurrence.

"Indeed, several of my former students have been inspired to take on equivalent positions at other institutions and have adopted her way of working with students. 'I want to be the Ann Marshall of the East Coast' was what one of my graduating PhDs remarked."

Every year, Marshall teaches 12 students in a highly rigorous laboratory course for MSE titled Transmission Electron Microscopy Laboratory.

"This requires the students to carry out quite difficult characterization analysis using diffraction contrast, which complements the TEM theory course also given in MSE," Sinclair said.

"Not only do the students receive a first-rate educational training, but their appreciation of Ann's efforts are consistently expressed by one of the top teaching scores in the department – typically being at the 4.8-4.9 level on the current 1.0-5.0 scale. This far surpasses that of most regular MSE faculty for whom teaching is their primary profession."

Sinclair also praised Marshall for her publication record, which he described as "extensive," often involving co-authorship with students.

"On many occasions, she has been the intellectual leader, in others she has guided the students to obtain meaningful data," he said, noting that "her work has had significant impact with close to 4,000 total citations and an h-index of 28. This level is expected of a full professor at a major research university like Stanford, but not for someone for whom research and publication is only a small fraction of her job description."

Marshall's teaching talents also won praise from Paul McIntyre, professor of materials science and engineering, and director of the Geballe Laboratory for Advanced Materials at Stanford.

"Ann has taught several generations of graduate students across Stanford the practical aspects of electron microscopy, and she has provided many of them with deeper insights into image interpretation, best practices in specimen-making, and the advanced imaging and diffraction methods needed to solve critical research problems," McIntyre wrote in a letter nominating Marshall for the award.

"Ann's work has had a tremendous impact both in terms of the important research discoveries that it has enabled and the high quality of electron microscopy for which Stanford is known."

McIntyre said Marshall had trained his students and collaborated with his group for the better part of a decade.

"In this time, we've written many papers on which Ann has been a co-author," McIntyre said. "Her intellectual contributions to the work we have done in understanding the growth of semiconductor nanowires have been essential.

"Working closely with my students, she has also pulled up the level of their materials characterization research, which has helped them perform analysis worthy of publication in the leading journals of our field."

McIntyre called special attention to Marshall's discovery of "gold nanoparticles with hexagonal close packed crystal structure, solidified at the tips of our germanium nanowires at the end of their growth by the vapor-liquid-solid process."

"This is the first-ever observation of the synthesis of gold in the hexagonal crystal structure at ambient pressures, and suggests the possibility of solidifying other metals in unusual structures on these nanoscale pedestals," he said. "Ann's discovery was published in 2010 in Nano Letters, a highly selective scientific journal."

Ai Leen Koh, whose research as a doctoral candidate at Stanford involved extensive use of the TEM, said that one of the most challenging aspects of that work is specimen preparation. She said a bulk material needs to be thinned down to electron transparency – with thicknesses less than 100 nanometers – in order to obtain useful information about the material structure with TEM.

"To make such thin samples involves a series of mechanical grinding, polishing and ion milling steps, each of which is not trivial, and it is easy to lose one's sample during every step of the process," Koh wrote in a letter nominating Marshall for the award.

"One of my projects involved studying multilayer-structured magnetic nanoparticles and viewing the individual layers in TEM, and my first couple of attempts at making these cross-section samples turned out to be a complete disaster," said Koh, an alumna who earned master's and doctoral degrees in mechanical engineering, in 2005 and 2009, respectively.

"After spending 50 hours in the lab and coming out with no sample, I went to Ann to discuss what could have gone wrong," she said. "During my next attempt at sample preparation, Ann would come down to the lab at the end of every intermediate step to check that the sample was OK; [she] worked with me to start the next process and gave me pointers that are crucial in terms of making a good sample. I successfully made my first TEM cross-section sample with Ann's help."

Koh, who returned to Stanford in 2010 and now helps manage the TEM Lab, said Marshall continues to inspire her with "her dedication in training new users, managing the specimen preparation laboratory and making sure that all the equipment is working properly so that things can get done."

James Wittig, associate professor of materials science and engineering at Vanderbilt University, said Marshall's course on using transmission electron microscopy for materials characterization helped shape his career as an electron microscopist.

"In the last 33 years, Ann has trained many hundreds of Stanford graduate students in the use of TEM, both with her laboratory course as well as hands-on collaborative research assistance," Wittig wrote in a letter nominating Marshall for the award.

"The philosophy at Stanford, which requires graduate students to become independent trained users of the electron microscopy facilities, differs from many universities where only technicians are allowed to run the instrumentation. Only with Ann Marshall's contributions has this system been successful."

"Ann has been extremely successful in setting an example and being a mentor to all the students involved in materials research even after they have graduated and are carrying out their own investigations," Subhash L. Shinde, manager of the Concentrating Solar Technologies Department at Sandia National Laboratories in New Mexico, wrote in a letter nominating Marshall.

"This is evident from the cluster of old colleagues that gathers around her in the conferences that she attends. The discussions are filled with laughter in addition to exchange of the latest scientific information – this is Ann's specialty, being informal as well as highly scientific."

"Very simply put, Ann Marshall is a 'treasure' at Stanford," Reinhold H. Dauskardt, professor and associate chair of the Department of Materials Science and Engineering, wrote in a nominating letter.

"In her own right, she is a talented and dedicated scientist – however, what really sets her apart is that she has worked selflessly and with dedication to support a generation of graduate and undergraduate students at Stanford.

"With little recognition and with selfless modesty, she has helped, mentored, nurtured and trained more graduate students than I can count. She has been a core member of the technical staff of the broadly used materials characterization facility at Stanford, and has been instrumental in helping the facility evolve the world-class capabilities it has now."


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0 Stanford expert: 'Black swans,' 'perfect storms' are lame excuses for bad risk management

Stanford Report, November 16, 2012

Instead of reflecting on the unlikelihood of rare catastrophes after the fact, Stanford risk analysis expert Elisabeth Paté-Cornell prescribes an engineering approach to anticipate them when possible, and to manage them when not.

By Kelly Servick

Kenneth William Caleno A black swan

Elisabeth Paté-Cornell argues that a true 'black swan' - an event that is impossible to imagine because we've known nothing like it in the past - is extremely rare.

The terms "black swan" and "perfect storm" have become part of the public vocabulary for describing disasters ranging from the 2008 meltdown in the financial sector to the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. But according to Elisabeth Paté-Cornell, a Stanford professor of management science and engineering, people in government and industry are using these terms too liberally in the aftermath of a disaster as an excuse for poor planning.

Her research, published in the November issue of the journal Risk Analysis, suggests that other fields could borrow risk analysis strategies from engineering to make better management decisions, even in the case of once-in-a-blue-moon events where statistics are scant, unreliable or non-existent.

Paté-Cornell argues that a true "black swan" – an event that is impossible to imagine because we've known nothing like it in the past – is extremely rare. The AIDS virus is one of very few examples. Usually, there are important clues and warning signs of emerging hazards (e.g., a new flu virus) that can be monitored to guide quick risk management responses.

The attacks of 9/11 were not black swans, she said. The FBI knew that questionable people were taking ?ying lessons on large aircraft. And a group of terrorists seemed to have had a similar plan in 1994, when they took over in Algiers, Algeria, an Air France aircraft bound for Paris.

Similarly, she argues that the risk of a "perfect storm," where multiple forces join to create a disaster greater than the sum of its parts, can be assessed in a systematic way before the event because even though their conjunctions are rare, the events that compose them – and all the myriad events that are dependent on them – have been observed in the past.

"Risk analysis is not about predicting anything before it happens, it's just giving the probability of various scenarios," she said. She argues that systematically exploring those scenarios can help companies and regulators make smarter decisions before an event in the face of uncertainty.

An engineering risk analyst thinks in terms of systems, their functional components and their dependencies, Paté-Cornell said. For instance, in many plants that require cooling, generators, turbines, water pumps, safety valves and more all contribute to making the system work. Therefore, the analyst must first understand the ways in which the system works as a whole in order to identify how it could fail. The same method applies to medical, financial or ecological systems.

In the case of a nuclear plant, the seismic activity or the potential for tsunamis in the area must be part of the equation, particularly if local earthquakes have historically led to tidal waves and destructive flooding. Paté-Cornell noted that the designers of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant ignored important historical precedents, including earthquakes in 869 and 1611 that generated waves similar to those witnessed in March 2011.

Paté-Cornell says that a systematic approach is also relevant to human aspects of risk analysis.

"Some argue that in engineering you have hard data about hard systems and hard architectures, but as soon as you involve human beings, you cannot apply the same methods due to the uncertainties of human error. I do not believe this is true," she said.

In fact, Paté-Cornell and her colleagues have long been incorporating "soft" elements into their systems analysis to calculate the probability of human error. They look at all the people with access to the system and factor in any available information about past behaviors, training and skills.

Paté-Cornell has found that human errors, far from being unpredictable, are often rooted in the way an organization is managed. "We look at how the management has trained, informed and given incentives to people to do what they do and assign risk based on those assessments," she said.

Paté-Cornell has successfully applied this approach to the field of finance, where she has estimated the probability that an insurance company would fail given its age and its size. She said companies funded her research because they needed forward-looking models that their financial analysts generally did not provide. Traditional financial analysis, she said, is based on evaluating existing statistical data about past events. In her view, analysts can better anticipate market failures – like the financial crisis that began in 2008 – by recognizing precursors and warning signs, and factoring them into a systemic probabilistic analysis.

Medical specialists must also make decisions in the face of limited statistical data, and Paté-Cornell says the same approach is useful for calculating patient risk.

She used systems analysis to assess data about anesthesia accidents – where human mistakes can create an accident chain that, if not recognized quickly, puts the patient's life in danger. Based on her results, she suggested retraining and recertification procedures for anesthesiologists to make their system safer.

"Lots of people don't like probability because they don't understand it," she said, "and they think if they don't have hard statistics, they cannot do a risk analysis." In fact, we generally do a system-based risk analysis because we do not have reliable statistics about the performance of the whole system.

Kelly Servick is a science-writing intern at the Stanford University School of Engineering.

Elisabeth Paté-Cornell, Management Science & Engineering: (650) 723-3823, mep@stanford.edu

Andrew Myers, School of Engineering: (650) 736-2245, admyers@stanford.edu

Dan Stober, Stanford News Service: (650) 721-6965, dstober@stanford.edu


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0 Celebrate National Distance Learning Week!

The United States Distance Learning Association is celebrating National Distance Learning Week all week long, and we're celebrating along with them.  Since our founding in 1897, the American School has always been at the forefront of distance learning.  We've offered different courses in different ways, but our commitment to offering students the accredited high school courses they need at a cost they can afford has always been of utmost concern to us.  That's why in the coming weeks and months, we're going to be offering new ways for students to take our courses and exams.  We'll continue to offer the kind of personalized attention to which our students have grown accustomed, but these changes will greatly enhance our students' educational experience with us.  We look forward to the formal announcement of these changes, which will enable us to be leaders in distance education for many years to come.   


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0 Today’s Special Occasion: Flu Shot Day

It's November 8, and later on today American School employees will receive flu shots to help keep them healthy throughout the winter months.  This might not seem like a big deal, but it's another way we offer caring student service.  Because of today's flu shots, we shouldn't have to worry about a flu epidemic wiping out whole departments for a few days at a time.  By doing everything we can to keep ourselves healthy during cold and flu season, we can maintain the same turnaround time for the grading of exams and provide you with quick and steady service in other departments.  In fact, during this cold and flu season, you may have the opportunity to receive even quicker exam turnaround.  Check this blog on Monday for details!     


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Wednesday, November 21, 2012

0 Student reporters chronicle impact of Hurricane Sandy

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October 30, 2012

As the New York area and much of the U.S. eastern seaboard endured Hurricane Sandy and began the long process of rebuilding, J-School student reporters were out in force to tell the story of the historic natural disaster.

Student reporters for Northattan, The Bronx Ink, the Brooklyn Ink, the New York Torch, Global City NYC and others covered Sandy from numerous angles. Northattan’s Emma Elbuzedi ’13 visited an evacuation center on 138th St., while Gayatri Kaul ’13 reported on a coffee shop still open as the storm approached.In the aftermath, several Northattan reporters took photos of the devastation. Xiaoran Liu ’13 produced video following clean up crews the morning after, while a piece by Lorena O’Neil ’13, provided insights into how readers can help local neighborhoods in north Manhattan begin to recover.  Brooklyn Ink staff have been live-blogging recovery efforts in the borough.  The Bridge amassed 18 stories in the days following the storm, including how East Village businesses have struggled to recover after Downtown Manhattan went dark.  For more J-School reporting on the hurricane, please visit columbiajournalist.org.

Here is a video from our Centennial Series in which several students recount their reporting experiences.


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0 Today’s Special Occasion: International Education Week

It's November 16, and today is the last day of International Education Week.  The American School is more than just a school for Americans who live in the United States.  In fact, included in our student body are American citizens who are temporarily living overseas, as well as full-time residents of many foreign countries.  If you are in either of those two groups, we have special enrollment applications designed just for you.  Perhaps even moreso than students who live stateside, our students who live overseas will appreciate the quicker turnaround time when they take online exams in select paper-based courses.  Add our Online Learning page to your favorites, and check it often so that you'll be the first to know when these exams will become available to our entire student body.


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0 Today’s Special Occasion: Veterans Day

It's November 12, and since November 11 fell on a Sunday this year, today is the official federal holiday in observance of Veterans Day.  We are proud to include the word "American" in our name every day, but moreso on this day when we honor the service and sacrifices of our veterans and their families.  We are most grateful for them and thank them for all they have done for our country.  


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0 Knight and Tow Foundations provide $2 million for news innovation research

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April 30, 2012

A major research initiative at Columbia University will help fill a growing void in journalism by working with leading newsrooms to provide actionable insights into what works best in digital news.

The John S. and James L. Knight Foundation and the Tow Foundation are funding the Graduate School of Journalism’s research with a combined $2 million in support. The research will focus on three areas:

• Impact: measuring how new practices and tools affect audiences and newsroom resources;
• Transparency in journalism: focusing on public data – what’s available, what’s not, and what’s useful and relevant to people’s lives;
• Data visualization: examining which visuals work best in informing and engaging readers.

Emily Bell, who was The Guardian of London’s digital editor before joining Columbia in 2010, will lead the project, working with technologists and newsroom leaders to develop new best practices. Research projects will be short-term, providing timely data and ultimately online tutorials that newsrooms can use to iterate and evolve.

Emily Bell: How a new research effort will help newsrooms determine what's next
Read the full press release
More news from the Journalism School


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